There exists a vast amount of studies that show an increase in correlation between global equity indices during bear markets and propose ways to measure/forecast this correlation (see for example Campbell, Koedjik and Kofman or Capiello, Engle and Sheppard, and many, many more). These studies differ greatly in their methodologies and complexities but they more or less all show … Continue reading A single value to measure equity market correlation
Here it goes, finally a strategy backtest (sort of) on this blog (what an intro). In their 1973 paper "Risk, Return and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests", Fama and MacBeth introduce a method for estimating betas and risk premia for any risk factors that determine asset prices. Under the assumption that the only common risk factor that … Continue reading Risk Premia Market Timing?
As you are reading this blog you are definitely familiar with the concept of backtesting trading strategies, and probably have done so a significant amount of times. But do you also backtest your risk metrics? They are as important of a building block of your portfolios overall performance as the trading strategies themselves. So if … Continue reading Food for thought: Risk Backtesting?